Way back in the 1980s – not long after our Chairman, Dr. Paul Mockapetris, invented the DNS – an archaeologist named Robert Bakker published a book called the Dinosaur Heresies. That book turned conventional wisdom about dinosaur science on its head and touched off a passionate scientific debate that continues to this day.
Bakker postulated, for example, that dinosaurs were not cold-blooded, lethargic dimwits. He argued that the available scientific evidence actually proved dinosaurs were warm blooded animals that possessed quick reflexes and uncanny intelligence. Perhaps his most famous claim was that the fearsome Tyrannosaurus Rex – long believed to be history’s greatest predator – was actually nothing more than a huge scavenger, roaming the Jurassic badlands for carcasses and scraps of meat.
How does this relate to the Internet? Well, if Dr. Bakker were an Internet archeologist, I wonder if he might postulate a similar set of theories that put Internet commentators and politicians on their heads (or at least on their heels). Take, for example, the concept of Net Neutrality – the principle that says service providers should make available an open and unaided pipe for all content and services, no matter the source, intention or impact. This concept is on the verge of being codified and, perhaps, extended soon by our very own Federal Communication Commission. However, we, like Dr. Bakker looking back at the evolution of the Internet, might just as well come to the conclusion that Net Neutrality is (or at the very least has become) a huge and terrible scavenger, roaming the digital badlands for something to bite.
Net Neutrality advocates claim that it is an essential component of the digital landscape. It is necessary, they claim, to ensure choice – choice in service, choice in content, choice in the experience. Some argue that we cannot rely on service providers for innovation. To them, relying on service providers is inherently problematic because ISPs, left unchecked, may be inclined toward monopolistic behavior that stifles innovation and competition. To be sure, both sides of this debate employ scores of public policy foot soldiers to ensure that their particular message is heard loud and clear.
Let’s examine the history of communications and information technology to gain some perspective. Several years ago, Morgan Stanley published a study on the future of web-based retailing. Their report included some fantastic data on the number of years it took for various forms of mass media to hit the 50 million user mark: Radio (38 years), TV (13 years), Internet (4 years), iPod (3 years), and Facebook (100 million users in only 9 months). These are amazing figures.
A brand new study from the Pew Research Center study concludes that 61% of news consumers now get their news from the Internet. Traditional media’s numbers are in decline because there is simply so much more and varied information available online from around the world. What’s more, the top search engines (BING, Google and Yahoo) account for 97% of all online searching. Today, even the most conservative estimates show there are upwards of 2 billion Internet users around the world, each of whom access these services freely and without limitation.
In the past 3 years, the Internet has also become one of the most genuinely populist communications and service platforms ever created. Today, Yelp, Twitter, StumbleUpon and other social networking tools allow average users to voice their praise, concerns or even ridicule about specific services, products, companies and organizations.
These services ensure that average users have greater influence over their Internet experience. More importantly, these new tools enable users to tailor the Internet experience in a way that best serves everyone — call it a “Wisdom of the Crowds” approach to shaping the Internet experience.
The technical community too has similar services, like discussion list, Slashdot and other tools that ensure all internet participants are kept honest in their dealings and offerings. The advent of blogs too aids in the creation of this popular voice, heightened by such worthy commentators as Ariana Huffington (Huffington Post), Adam Pash (Lifehacker), and Walt Mossberg (All Things Digital).
The notion that consumers have limited choice in how to connect to the Internet is also suspect. There are at least six primary ways of connecting to the broadband Internet today: 1) a local or regional ISP, 2) a large telecom or cable alternative such as Comcast or AT&T, 3) your mobile phone service provider, 4) a mobile access card (or “Stick”), which, like mine, could be from a service provider that is different than your home service provider, 5) free wifi or similar access offered by established retailers, and 6) new wireless initiatives (such as that offered by Google recently).
Traveling users have additional options for access. Working users have similar options that may or may not overlap with their traveling options. Each approach provides a different experience and a variety of services designed to gain and keep you as a customer. More importantly, the myriad ways that end users access the Internet today shows clearly that users are not at the mercy of their home service ISP. They have choice, and it exists in every corner of their lives.
Against this backdrop, where do we find a place for Net Neutrality? Or is there a place for it anymore? Can we refashion it to fit the new Internet reality? Should we resurrect it to ensure the pace of innovation we have enjoyed for the last few years continues?
I would argue that the pace of innovation, proliferation of content and access mediums and the dynamic transformation of the Internet had little or nothing to do with Net Neutrality. Net Neutrality guarded against the potential for monopolistic behavior, was wholly unnecessary in the explosive growth era of the Internet, and remains so in today’s populist Internet. End users demand for increasingly richer content and services, and more importantly, the expanding availability of end user choice delivered as the consequence of the traditional competitive zeal on the part of all Internet participants was the cause of the wonderful, rich and engaging Internet of today. Net Neutrality was and remains a useful guiding principle. But to take a guiding principle and codify it as a law – to try, as politicians and interested groups do, to use its general precepts to legislate something that has become as dynamic and vital to the world economy as the Internet seems misguided.
To see the fantasies of the Net Neutrality advocates come true, Dr. Bakker might conclude that the fastest growing, most dynamic communication and service platform in history was suddenly stunted by a well meaning T-Rex of the digital age – Net Neutrality.
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